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Box Office Predictions For May 9-11  XML
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mooreland
Makeup Department Head

Joined: Sep 11, 2007 7:56 PM
Messages: 241
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Yee-haw, go WHiV! Beating out the Speed Racer in PTA. I knew it would be worth being on my slates.
ashkul88
Mogul

Joined: Jun 10, 2007 3:42 AM
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Shryke42 wrote:

5. Mister Loneley (just barely ahead of The Visitor)
 


well, that leaves one less headache for me....though God knows 'Visitor' gave me more than enough to last a lifetime!!
Donte77
Executive Producer

Joined: Dec 19, 2007 10:19 AM
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That is awesome for me except in the Bankruptcy Slate. Those people that took Speed Racer just got a big help. 42 bucks for a few top 5 and 30 million bucks. Damn it is going to do worse than Nim's Island. LOL
Buscemi
Mogul

Joined: Aug 30, 2007 11:06 AM
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Taking Speed Racer in Bankrupts was good advice!
undeadmonkey
Producer

Joined: Oct 31, 2007 10:11 AM
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I admit it. Speed Racer was a damn good Bankrupts pick
Buscemi
Mogul

Joined: Aug 30, 2007 11:06 AM
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Now, does anyone agree with comparing it to The Golden Compass (in terms of anticipation and final result)?
dranscht
Producer

Joined: Mar 30, 2007 3:29 PM
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Nope. We all had Speed Racer pegged as a flop a mile away. With The Golden Compass, it took until much closer to the release to think that maybe it wasn't quite so hot after all.
Shryke42
Executive Producer

Joined: Mar 31, 2007 5:36 PM
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dranscht wrote:
Nope. We all had Speed Racer pegged as a flop a mile away. With The Golden Compass, it took until much closer to the release to think that maybe it wasn't quite so hot after all. 


I'm too tired to look this up (hint, nudge), but didn't Compass fare MUCH better overseas, to the extend that it actually made most of its money back? Which, I think, qualifies it more of a "disappointment" than an actual flop. (And, for the record, I still enjoyed watching more than I Am Legend, if you can believe it.)

As for Speed, I heard that it's total budget was around $300 million including marketing. And its first week out of the gate in the international market? Was even worse than here, according to IMDb.

Another films falls victim to the second-weekend-in-May curse. I sure hope that Star Trek fares better in that slot next year! But then, it's following Wolverine, not Iron Man or Spider-Man, so maybe it can be the exception to the rule, like Troy was to Van Helsing (which also, ironically, starred Hugh Jackman).

Hmm... looks like I'm already writing my column for next May, doesn't it?
silversurfer19
Mogul

Joined: May 4, 2007 5:37 AM
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you are quite right Shryke, I remember it did quite well over here in NZ, and I just checked and for its budget of $180m it achieved $300m foreign BO to add to its $70m US.

It has also reached about $6.5m in DVD rentals as well, so really, although it didn't meet expectations, it has done ok for about $377m. I don't see Speed Racer performing that well. In total worldwide so far it has only just reached $30m. They are poor figures for a movie which has cost $120m(excluding marketing)!

And shryke, I think Wolverine will do very well next year, what with the popularity of the character, Marvel and Jackman (though Deception attempts to disprove his draw) so maybe you should be a little worried for Star Trek.
Buscemi
Mogul

Joined: Aug 30, 2007 11:06 AM
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Jackman's native Australia is probably the only place where Deception made any money (opened Number Three there).
geezer9687
Mogul

Joined: Jun 5, 2007 10:45 PM
Messages: 1269
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I think the closest comparison we have to Speed Racer, as far as this game is concerned, would be Lions For Lambs. That was a movie that pretty much everyone knew would tank, yet still had a ridiculously high price tag.
dranscht
Producer

Joined: Mar 30, 2007 3:29 PM
Messages: 719
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I think Deception doesn't disprove Hugh Jackman's draw; it didn't fail because of him so much as the fact that it went through multiple title changes AND was released on the last week in April, which is always pretty much a crapshoot.
Buscemi
Mogul

Joined: Aug 30, 2007 11:06 AM
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And to Fox, it was already a dump considering they didn't fund it (it was independently made) and only had US and Australian rights (Summit handled international rights in which they pre-sold it). So, Fox felt it wasn't a loss leading to little advertisement or word-of-mouth.
undeadmonkey
Producer

Joined: Oct 31, 2007 10:11 AM
Messages: 656
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I didnt see any advertisement for Deception. The only reason i knew it was coming out is because of this site and boxofficemojo
Buscemi
Mogul

Joined: Aug 30, 2007 11:06 AM
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Trailers appeared on a few films (Shutter and some prints of Shine A Light), but TV spots and Internet ads were few and far between. It was overshadowed by Street Kings and What Happens In Vegas from the same studio.
 
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