My Studios

wow even though what happens in vegas is a kind of dissapointment....i was hoping for 30mill ow...beating speed racer has to be nice.

Well, all the openers seem ruined. What Happens in Vegas opening below $20 million is bad. Speed Racer only making $20 million, that makes it all the worse that WHIV didn't top Speed Racer for the weekend. Redbelt's DOA. Iron Man continues rocking with $50 million which is great, just less than Spider-Man 3's 2nd weekend. Yeah, I'm looking forward to next weekend.

I knew the whole time that Speed Racer was a bomb. Today, it had already been moved to smaller auditoriums at the theatre that I saw it the night before.

And Redbelt was a victim of poor advertising and expanding it too soon. But it seems to be doing alright here.

WhiV's IMDb user rating is at 3.6 with over 700 votes. Ouch!

actually vegas still has a chance to top 20mill and top speed racer. its not really what anyone was hoping for but the studios shouldnt be that upset with 18-20, thats in line with most projections and it has 2 weeks until sex and the city . meanwhile speed racer at only 18-20 is a disaster in about as bad as the golden compass.

And Rotten Tomatoes has it at 26%. All the people here with it on their slates need to head on over to the iMDb and vote well for it.

In a fit of idiocy, I warned everyone to be very careful if they had it on their slates ... and then forgot to take it off of my own. I'll have to make adjustments with the rest of my picks now to try and buoy my iMDb score. Unless the score comes up, I may have just cost myself every league I'm in this season.

even if it does hurt the imdb it still will give u maybe 1 or 2 pta, 8 or 9 top 10, and possibly 60mill. all that for $7 should be enough to balance it for u

It's actually tracking 4 PTA for this weekend, and there is an under $5 jewel to help w/ the IMDb, much like The Air I Breath helped several w/ Hannah Montana in the Jan-Mar leagues.

In Box office, its an awesome pick for $5 dollars. I still think its a good pick in Ultimate too.

FM's Saturday

EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS EARLY SATURDAY ESTIMATES
1. Iron Man (Paramount) – $21.72M - $5,285 PTA - $163.66M cume
2. NEW – Speed Racer (Warner Bros) - $7.66M - $2,125 PTA - $13.51M cume
3. NEW – What Happens in Vegas (Fox) - $7.03M - $2,188 PTA - $13.73M cume
4. Made of Honor (Sony) - $2.98M - $1,093 PTA - $24.11M cume
5. Baby Mama (Universal) – $2.3M - $878 PTA - $38.8M cume
6. Forgetting Sarah Marshall (Universal) - $1.51M- $636 PTA - $49.65M cume
7. Harold & Kumar Escape from Guantanamo (Warner Bros) - $1.25M - $553 PTA - $29.89M cume
8. The Forbidden Kingdom (Lionsgate) - $891,000 - $517 PTA - $47.48M cume
9. Nim’s Island (Fox) - $504,000 - $315 PTA - $43.73M cume
10. Prom Night (Sony) - $411,000 - $281 PTA - $42.55M cume
11. Redbelt (Sony Classics) - $395,000 - $304 PTA - $810,000 cume
12. 21 (Sony) - $351,000 - $359 PTA - $80.17M cume
*The Visitor (Overture Films) - $268,000 - $1,235 PTA - $2.15M cume
*Then She Found Me (Thinkfilm) - $188,000 - $1,229 PTA - $683,000 cume
*Young @ Heart (Fox Searchlight) - $135,000 - $931 PTA - $1.26M cume
*Son of Rambow (Paramount Vantage) - $61,000 - $1,694 PTA - $165,000 cume
*Roman De Gare (IDP/Samuel Goldwyn) - $57,000 - $3,800 PTA - $152,000 cume
*NEW – The Fall (Roadside Attractions) - $21,000 - $2,333 PTA - $40,000 cume
*NEW – Before the Rains (Roadside Attractions) - $14,500 - $1,611 PTA - $26,000 cume
*NEW – The Babysitters (Peace Arch) - $7,650 - $403 PTA - $15.000 cume
*Mr. Lonely (IFC Films) - $5,561 - $1,112 PTA - $33,000 cume
*NEW – America the Beautiful (Arenas Entertainment) - $2,981 - $2,981 PTA - $4,306 cume
*NEW – Bloodline (Cinema Libre) - $2,717 - $2,717 PTA - $4,553 cume
*NEW – Poultreygeist: Night of the Chicken Dead (Troma) - $2,453 - $2,453 PTA - $24,400 cume
*NEW – Surfwise (Magnolia) - $2,129 - $2,129 PTA - $3,900 cume
*NEW – Noise (ThinkFilm) - $1,373 - $687 PTA - $2,361 cume
*NEW – The Tracey Fragments (ThinkFilm) - $1,220 PTA - $1,220 PTA - $2,382 cume

EXCLUSIVE FANTASY MOGULS REVISED 3-DAY ESTIMATES
1. Iron Man (Paramount) – $51.79M - $12,600 PTA - $178.43M cume
2. NEW – Speed Racer (Warner Bros) - $18.72M - $5,193 PTA - $18.72M cume
3. NEW – What Happens in Vegas (Fox) - $17.6M - $5,476 PTA - $17.6M cume
4. Made of Honor (Sony) - $7.29M - $2,667 PTA - $25.96M cume
5. Baby Mama (Universal) – $5.57M - $2,124 PTA - $40.18M cume
6. Forgetting Sarah Marshall (Universal) - $3.58M- $1,509 PTA - $50.53M cume
7. Harold & Kumar Escape from Guantanamo (Warner Bros) - $3.1M - $1,373 PTA - $30.67M cume
8. The Forbidden Kingdom (Lionsgate) - $2.02M - $1,172 PTA - $48.06M cume
9. Nim’s Island (Fox) - $1.11M- $694 PTA - $44.04M cume
10. Prom Night (Sony) - $987,000 - $674 PTA - $42.75M cume
11. Redbelt (Sony Classics) - $960,000 - $738 PTA - $1.05M cume
12. 21 (Sony) - $790,000 - $808 PTA - $80.3M cume
*The Visitor (Overture Films) - $567,000 - $2,613 PTA - $2.31M cume
*Then She Found Me (Thinkfilm) - $391,000 - $2,556 PTA - $796,000 cume
*Young @ Heart (Fox Searchlight) - $296,000 - $2,041 PTA - $1.35M cume
*Son of Rambow (Paramount Vantage) - $135,000 - $3,750 PTA - $208,000 cume
*Roman De Gare (IDP/Samuel Goldwyn) - $120,000 - $8,000 PTA - $189,000 cume
*NEW – The Fall (Roadside Attractions) - $54,000 - $6,000 PTA - $54,000 cume
*NEW – Before the Rains (Roadside Attractions) - $35,500 - $3,944 PTA - $35,500 cume
*NEW – The Babysitters (Peace Arch) - $20,000 - $1,053 PTA - $20,000 cume
*Mr. Lonely (IFC Films) - $12,500 - $2,500 PTA - $36,000 cume
*Poultreygeist: Night of the Chicken Dead (Troma) - $10,750 - $10,750 PTA - $10,750 cume
*NEW – America the Beautiful (Arenas Entertainment) - $6,244 - $6,244 PTA - $6,244 cume
*NEW – Bloodline (Cinema Libre) - $6,184 - $6,184 PTA - $6,184 cume
*NEW – Surfwise (Magnolia) - $5,287 - $5,287 PTA - $5,287 cume
*NEW – Noise (ThinkFilm) - $3,254 - $1,627 PTA - $3,254 cume
*NEW – The Tracey Fragments (ThinkFilm) - $3,175 PTA - $3,175 PTA - $3,175 cume

If WHiV beats Speed Racer, that would sooooo make my day.

BOM weekend estimates are in!

Top 5 * numbers in the millions

1. Iron Man - 50,5

2. Speed Racer - 20,21

3. What Happens In Vegas - 20

4. Made of Honor - 7,6

5. Baby Mama - 5,766

PTA *numbers in the thousands EDITED

1. Iron Man - $12,284

2. Vegas - $6,220

3. Speed Racer- $5,604

4. Son of Rambow - $3,833

5. Mr. Lonely - $3,600

Notables

-Other then Iron Man, it's another slow weekend. How disappointing.

-The actuals could see some shifting between Vegas and Speed. Could be interesting.

-Rambow and Mr. Lonely steal The Visitor's thunder But only by a few hundred dollars.

-Redbelt bombs.

Here is Box Office Mojo's first estimates for this weekend:

1. Iron Man - $50.5 M
2. Speed Racer - $20.21 M
3. What Happens in Vegas - $20 M
4. Made of Honor - $7.6 M
5. Baby Mama - $5.766 M

6. Forgetting Sarah Marshall - $3.778 M
7. Harold and Kumar - $3.155 M
8. Forbidden Kingdom - $1.9 M
9. Nim's Island - $1.325 M
10. Redbelt - $1.14 M

PTA estimates (which are incomplete):

1. Iron Man - $12,284
2. Vegas - $6,220
3. Speed - $5,604

No estimates on The Visitor or Son of Rambow, which could pick up some more PTA as well.

I hope that once actuals are in What Happens in Vegas will be second. I doubt Speed Racer will have a mother's day uptick from opening day. Moms are going to pick WHIV and Made of Honor over Speed Racer.

As for it being a slow weekend, it looks like it, but really its up 15% from last year.

And Wohoo! for the Visitor

PTA estimates are now in.

1. Iron Man
2. What Happens in Vegas
3. Speed Racer
4. Son of Rambow
5. Mister Loneley (just barely ahead of The Visitor)

My Studios

ADVICE & ANALYSIS: