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In complete agreement with you on that anny. No chance in hell that Mummy 3 doesn't win its opening weekend. The Dark Knight will be slowing by then. My prediction for it is that it makes about 125 opening weekend, then another 65 in its second, then 35. The Mummy will open around 45-55 million, which I can't see The Dark Knight getting in its third weekend. I just hope TDK makes around 220-230 in its first 10 days, which I really think it can. Then I may be able to pull past Kompressr in the BO HY Super League final round.

Mummy 3 is the Rush Hour 3 of this year. Only it looks a hell of a lot better than Rush Hour 3 did.

i'm hoping for similar numbers geez, that way it's enough to satisfy me in my July leagues while not allowing my competition to outpace me in the May (Super) leagues

I think TDK has a MUCH better shot at beating the OW record than people think...And as for weak legs...Expect a Transformers-style performance from this. It'll be in theatres still making money by the time the DVD rolls around in October.

You all are setting yourself up for a huge fall.
Batman is not going to be as the article says...plus in the end it will turn out too dark for kids.

CTALONS wrote:

You all are setting yourself up for a huge fall.
Batman is not going to be as the article says...plus in the end it will turn out too dark for kids.

Um.. duh. Thats kind of the point. Plus its PG-13 so screw the kids.

I know, who cares about the kids, they will not prevent it being the huge hit it looks to be. If a movie is aimed at kids, then of course you may want to avoid a dark theme. However, as becs pointed out, its PG-13, therefore not aimed at kids. I Am Legend was a PG-13, and certainly not aimed at kids, but that still raked in more than $250m domestic despite not being very good. The WOM for TDK will be fantastic, and the drops will be minimal.

It will definitely win its first 2 weekends, and will do decent business on its third. It will, as a few have pointed out, not win its 3rd weekend, as The Mummy will bring in a decent OW BO, but that would mean in 3 weekends it will have raked in 14 top 5 points. I would fully expect it to match Iron Man's top 5's.

Also, I am pretty certain it will not break any records. Yes, it will perform very well, and probably bring in around $110-$120m OW, but it won't get close to that $150m mark.

I'm thinking around $110 million opening weekend, even though that article is awesome. I'm expecting around $275-300 million total. I don't want to do all the math to figure out all of the Top 5 points it will get, but it should get an IMDb of around 8.1 and I have no idea how many PTA points.

I think that is a jaw droppingly low estimation J.I. If it makes more than $100m OW as you predict, it would have to have very dramatic drops to not sustain its advantage over likes of Iron Man and Indy IV. Remember IM and Indy both just broke that $100m mark on their 3 day OW, so if you think TDK will make $110m, then it will have to have weaker legs than either of those films to finish in the region of $275m. I just don't see that happening at all.

TDK will invite multiple viewings so everyone, and without a significant movie to counter it until The Mummy is released, I'm certain its legs will be very strong. In fact, I would be surprised if it finished up with less than $310m. I think 9 PTA and 18 top 5's would be close to the mark too.

I think yall are underestimating the kids. There were kids with their parents when i went to go watch Wanted, 300, and The Happening which we're all rated R. I also remember kids in Batman Begins and it was kinda dark. The latest Harry Potters are pretty dark. TDK is PG-13.

I think one of the reasons that yall are saying its 'too dark' is because of the Heath Ledger's passing, which i do agree adds a certain factor of darkness, if thats what you want to call it. Most kids wont know about it, so it wont affect them. Am i making any sense? my head hurts

Honestly, I think it has a chance of having the biggest OW, and so far the pre-sales have been supporting that

undeadmonkey wrote:

I think yall are underestimating the kids. There were kids with their parents when i went to go watch Wanted, 300, and The Happening which we're all rated R. I also remember kids in Batman Begins and it was kinda dark. The latest Harry Potters are pretty dark. TDK is PG-13.

I think one of the reasons that yall are saying its 'too dark' is because of the Heath Ledger's passing, which i do agree adds a certain factor of darkness, if thats what you want to call it. Most kids wont know about it, so it wont affect them. Am i making any sense? my head hurts

Honestly, I think it has a chance of having the biggest OW, and so far the pre-sales have been supporting that

Have you *seen* the trailers? Or the previous movie for that matter? its freakin dark, its like past dark chocolate all the way to bitersweet bakers dark chocolate man. for REALS.

Yea the kids will get their parents to take them, because kids are spoiled little brats, but they won't be flooding in for sure, so its a legit concern but I don't think enough of one that it will hurt the movie's box office dollars. if they had made it kid friendly it wouldn't warrant numerous repeat viewings as I suspect it will.

People are hypocrites nowadays. They teach their kids about family values and censorship....then take their five-year-olds to see Rambo.

I almost died the other day when my brother in law decided that he and his wife wanted to go see Lars And The Real Girl (yes, I know we get it late, but even for us its been out for 4 months!! They wait a long time before catching a movie), and they have decided that they are going to take their 1 month old baby with them!! Supposedly he slept through Indy IV, so they think its a good way of getting him to sleep. When will parents ever learn. I pray for those in the screening with them.....

I remember a young couple (about late teens/early twenties) taking their newborn to see Clerks II. Newborns and bestiality don't mix.

Trust me, TDK may be dark, but kids will still want to go. Its still Batman. Its still a superhero movie. They are still marketing the crap out of it and the toys are already filling up stores everywhere. At my Wal-Mart we have so much more Batman Toys than we do WALL-E toys even. Kids will show up. They may not go to repeat showings, but teens and adults will.

I believe you, it is the same over here (though we don't get Wall-E for another couple of months which could explain that...), there is a massive amount of merchandise, and kids will eat it up. However, I was just pointing out that kids will not determine whether this movie is successful or not. There is so many other groups of people who will watch the movie and see repeat viewings, that worrying about the tone of the film is negligible.

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